Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Worried About Your Favorite TSX Miner?


Don't worry, everyone's portfolio is  looking like your favorite ski hill... unfortunately - it's going down instead of up.

Today's articles are very real and come from credible sources - just to show you that even stocks well above $5+ which people tend to think is safe and stable... means very little. Quality juniors like TNR has bottomed out and presents a great entry point...even while Minera Andes has fallen back from $1 to $0.60 today.

Take a read at the following article and scan down the colum of average % losses across the board. 

Well known miner in Canada Teck Cominco has certainly bit off more than it can chew with a terribly timed acquisition of Fording... TCK.b is down to $5.10 today, a new one year low.

From July 2008 we see Teck confidently acquiring coal giant Fording at $12.4 billions in cash + 37 odd million shares of TCK. 

Vancouver, BC -- Teck Cominco Limited [TSX:TCK.A and TCK.B, NYSE:TCK] (“Teck”) announced today that it has entered into an agreement with Fording Canadian Coal Trust (“Fording”) under which Teck will acquire 100% of Fording’s assets, which consist principally of a royalty in respect of Fording’s 60% non-operating interest in the Elk Valley Coal Partnership (“Elk Valley Coal”).  Under the terms of the transaction, Fording unitholders will receive US$82.00 in cash and 0.245 of a Teck Class B subordinate voting share per Fording unit.  Based on the 20 day volume weighted average price of Teck Class B shares on the New York Stock Exchange (“NYSE”), the proceeds to Fording unitholders represent a 18% premium to the 20 day volume weighted average price of Fording units on the NYSE, in each case for the period ending July 25. In aggregate, Teck will pay approximately US$12.4 billion in cash and issue approximately 36.9 million Teck Class B subordinate voting shares in consideration for the Fording assets.  The cash portion of the consideration is expected to be primarily funded by a US$9.8 billion fully underwritten bridge and term loan facility arranged with a syndicate of banks and the proceeds of the sale of Fording units held by Teck prior to closing.

A large Canadian financial newspaper, The Globa and Mail, mentioned about valuation of Fording
The Globe and Mail reports in its Thursday edition to understand the enormity of Teck's bad timing on the Fording takeover, Teck paid $12.4-billion for coal mines the market would now value at $3.5-billion. The Globe's Andrew Willis, writing in Streetwise, notes Teck's stock has dropped 83 per cent this year
Essentially, Teck has lost $9 billion in just a little over 3 months. Scary? Read on for more huge drops.

Author: Barry Sergeant
Posted:  Tuesday , 18 Nov 2008

JOHANNESBURG - 

Across the broad landscape of globally listed mining companies, silver bullion miners, developers and explorers are less wanted than anything else. Looking at 43 names listed in the category, the average stock price loss from highs, measured on a weighed basis, is currently around 83%, leaving especially the smaller stocks fully vulnerable to facing the prospect of shorter term bankruptcy.

Silver bullion itself is 56% off its highs, seen in March this year. Amid the apparent dire state of affairs for both silver bullion prices, and stocks operating in the silver space, bullish comments and forecasts remain the order of the day. This week, ScotiaMocatta insisted that in spite of poor demand outlook in the short term, the long-term outlook for precious metals remains bullish, and that "silver is well placed to outshine gold"...

...continued, click link above

Selected silver stocks

 

 

 

 

Stock

From

From

Value

PRODUCERS

price

high*

low*

USD bn

Fresnillo

GBP 0.98

-83.0%

3.0%

1.055

Silver Wheaton

USD 2.78

-85.8%

8.6%

0.699

Pan American Silver

USD 10.04

-77.2%

12.4%

0.811

Hochschild Mining

GBP 1.16

-77.1%

25.1%

0.535

Silver Standard

USD 8.28

-79.8%

54.8%

0.519

Coeur d'Alene

USD 0.52

-90.0%

26.8%

0.287

Hecla Mining

USD 1.31

-90.0%

32.3%

0.222

Volcan

EUR 3.60

-82.8%

19.6%

0.382

Silvercorp

CAD 1.66

-84.4%

1.2%

0.206

ECU Silver

CAD 0.58

-77.7%

5.5%

0.115

Apex Silver

USD 0.74

-95.9%

63.7%

0.043

First Majestic

CAD 1.26

-78.1%

44.8%

0.076

Silverstone

CAD 0.46

-87.2%

15.0%

0.046

S. Métallurgique d'Imiter

MAD 242.00

-66.6%

0.0%

0.455

Endeavour Silver

CAD 1.20

-73.3%

20.0%

0.048

Excellon

CAD 0.22

-88.8%

2.4%

0.028

Fortuna Silver

CAD 0.53

-85.3%

39.5%

0.037

Great Panther

CAD 0.29

-83.1%

61.1%

0.019

Genco Resources

CAD 0.32

-91.9%

68.4%

0.011

Impact Silver

CAD 0.29

-84.7%

65.7%

0.011

Revett Minerals

CAD 0.08

-91.7%

14.3%

0.005

US Silver Corp

CAD 0.04

-95.7%

0.0%

0.007

DEVELOPERS & EXPLORERS

 

 

 

Abcourt Mines

CAD 0.08

-86.4%

23.1%

0.004

Apogee Minerals

CAD 0.04

-92.6%

33.3%

0.002

Aquiline Resources

CAD 0.93

-92.0%

19.2%

0.048

Arian Silver

CAD 0.05

-91.1%

25.0%

0.005

Aura Silver

CAD 0.04

-91.3%

100.0%

0.001

Avino Silver

CAD 0.38

-78.7%

111.1%

0.006

Bear Creek Mining

CAD 0.80

-91.5%

37.9%

0.036

Esperanza Silver

CAD 0.48

-77.0%

54.8%

0.019

Klondike Silver

CAD 0.08

-78.1%

33.3%

0.006

MAG Silver

CAD 4.70

-70.4%

33.5%

0.188

Mexican Silver

CAD 0.11

-87.8%

69.2%

0.004

Minco Silver

CAD 0.46

-89.0%

39.4%

0.012

Mines Management

USD 0.85

-81.3%

77.1%

0.019

Oremex Silver

CAD 0.08

-85.3%

275.0%

0.002

Orko Silver

CAD 0.40

-81.2%

42.9%

0.035

Oro Silver

CAD 0.08

-93.3%

23.1%

0.002

San Anton Resources

CAD 0.05

-95.8%

11.1%

0.004

Silvercrest

CAD 0.30

-80.2%

55.3%

0.011

Silver Eagle Mines

CAD 0.07

-92.7%

7.7%

0.003

S American Silver

CAD 0.16

-80.0%

6.7%

0.007

Southern Silver

CAD 0.04

-89.9%

33.3%

0.001

Averages/total

 

-85.0%

39.4%

6.032

Weighted averages

 

-83.1%

16.3%

 

 

 

 

 

 

GOLDS WITH NOTABLE SILVER

 

 

 

JSC Polymetal

USD 2.67

-72.9%

167.0%

0.841

Minefinders

CAD 4.58

-67.4%

13.1%

0.186

Gammon Gold

CAD 4.01

-64.2%

14.2%

0.392

Kimber Resources

CAD 0.75

-62.1%

41.5%

0.038

High River Gold

CAD 0.09

-97.4%

125.0%

0.023

New Gold

CAD 1.10

-88.7%

3.8%

0.191

Ovoca Gold

GBP 0.03

-84.3%

23.5%

0.017

 

 

 

 

 

WORLD'S TOP SILVER PRODUCERS (2007)

 

 

BHP Billiton

GBP 8.76

-60.3%

15.7%

82.121

Polska Miedź

PLN 24.20

-79.8%

20.5%

1.600

Fresnillo

GBP 0.98

-83.0%

3.0%

1.055

Kazakhmys

GBP 2.36

-88.0%

12.3%

1.893

Pan American Silver

USD 10.04

-77.2%

12.4%

0.811

Goldcorp

USD 19.97

-62.1%

44.3%

14.554

Volcan

EUR 3.60

-82.8%

19.6%

0.382

Buenaventura

USD 12.48

-70.9%

38.7%

3.431

JSC Polymetal

USD 2.67

-72.9%

167.0%

0.841

Southern Copper

USD 11.50

-72.6%

26.0%

10.017

Hochschild Mining

GBP 1.16

-77.1%

25.1%

0.535

Rio Tinto

GBP 24.35

-66.0%

24.4%

52.760

Coeur d'Alene

USD 0.52

-90.0%

26.8%

0.287

Oz Minerals

AUD 0.73

-82.0%

9.0%

1.490

Xstrata

GBP 7.95

-82.1%

16.0%

11.591

 

 

 

 

 

SILVER ETFs

 

 

 

 

iShares Silver Trust

USD 9.35

-54.9%

10.7%

2.054

ETFS Silver

USD 9.33

-55.9%

9.0%

0.183

ZKB Silver

CHF 1,085.00

-48.5%

13.4%

0.280

Averages/total

 

-53.1%

11.0%

2.517

Weighted averages

 

-54.3%

10.8%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Spot silver/oz

USD 9.42

-55.9%

11.4%

 

* 12 mon

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